Locate-then-edit · key cosine · collateral damage

Closed-form key geometry predicts locate-then-edit collateral.

A rank-one ROME update writes a key–value pair. Pairwise key cosine, and the S×C product with residual-norm growth, rank the collateral a later edit inflicts on a held fact. The signal is edit-specific, not probe-marginal.

0.395within-probe ρ key-cos · L8
0.534L10
0.602L12 peak
0.301L14

The object

The geometry score is the cosine of two edit keys. The magnitude score is the product of residual norms. Neither is a learned probe — both are read from the editor’s own closed form.

S×C uses residual-norm growth as S. On Llama-3.2-1B the within-probe ρ(S×C, damage) is 0.402 / 0.553 / 0.677 / 0.504 at L8 / L10 / L12 / L14, and beats raw key-cosine at every layer.

What is measured

  • Within-probe partialled Spearman(key-cos, damage): L8 0.395 / L10 0.534 / L12 0.602 / L14 0.301; permutation p at the floor
  • Survives double-centering and norm-growth partialling
  • Norm-growth baseline overtakes key-cos at L14 (0.502 vs 0.301)
  • AlphaEdit residual damage 0.07–0.13 vs ROME 2–5.4; ρ(key-cos, damage-removed) L8 0.397 / L10 0.532 / L12 0.597 / L14 0.302

Protocol

  • Install one ROME edit; dump keys, residuals, and held-fact logits.
  • Score pairwise key cosine and S×C against collateral logit drop, within probe.
  • Causal arm: replace the update with an AlphaEdit projection and re-score damage removed.

Measurements

Confound-clean gate

The within-probe partial stays above 0.15 at all four layers. Probe-identity leakage would have collapsed it; it does not.

Causal removal

AlphaEdit removes most ROME collateral at every layer. Geometry still ranks the damage that was removed, including at L14 where the correlational ρ weakens.

Scope

Primary cells are 1B with selected mid-scale checks through 3B. This page states geometry and measurements only.

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